Home   News and Press Releases
 
Joe Mysak  Joe Mysak is a columnist for Bloomberg News. The opinions expressed are his own.

`Nobody Buys Bonds With Negative Return.' Really?: Joe Mysak

Sept. 5 (Bloomberg) -- Why would you buy a municipal bond with a negative yield?

It happens every day, as Kevin Olson pointed out earlier this year on his Web site, MunicipalBonds.com.

Olson was outraged by his discovery of negative yields. He continues to ask on his Web site, ``Aren't negative yields illegal . or prohibited . or something???''

They're not. Bond traders say there's nothing very mysterious about these transactions. What the buyers are doing is purchasing bonds that are callable in a short time, and making an educated bet that the issuer won't exercise the call.

The negative yield will -- or should -- show up on the buyer's confirmation, because dealers are required to show ``yield to worst,'' the yield presuming the call will be made.

The yield only remains negative until the call date. After the date passes, and the call isn't exercised, the yield turns positive. There's nothing wrong, or illegal about it, and sophisticated and institutional investors engage in such transactions all the time.

This is what the market knows, right? Everyone in the municipal bond market knows all about transactions that result in negative yields.

Well, perhaps not everyone.

Perhaps not even expert witnesses, as a Securities and Exchange Commission opinion filed in August makes clear.

`Not on Purpose'

In September 1995, a bond dealer sold an individual investor a $25,000 block of bonds. The dealer bought the bonds for 107, and sold them to the investor for 110 3/4.

That's a markup of 3.50 percent, which is pretty good, especially considering that the dealer engaged in what are called ``riskless principal transactions.'' He only bought bonds when he knew he had a customer for them.

The markup isn't the interesting part of the SEC opinion. What comes after this statement about the transaction is.

Because the bonds had a call date of Nov. 1, 1995, the resulting yield to the customer was negative 42.95 percent. The SEC's expert witness ``considered this trade to be highly unusual because `nobody buys bonds with a negative return to maturity, at least not on purpose.' ''

Highly unusual? Nobody buys bonds with negative returns on purpose?

The tale of buying bonds with negative yields was just a nugget contained in the SEC's opinion, ``In the Matter of Mark David Anderson of Marina Del Rey, California.''

Markups, Markdowns

Perhaps the widespread buying of bonds producing negative yields, at least for a little while, is more widespread today than it was in the mid-1990s. Or perhaps it's not as widespread and common as some traders think it is.

The comment on negative yields in the SEC opinion counts as only an aside, albeit a curious one. The opinion is really all about ``excessive markups and markdowns'' on bonds.

The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board, which oversees the municipal market, is silent on the matter of markups and markdowns. The MSRB's Rule G-30 only states that a bond's price should be ``fair and reasonable, taking into consideration all relevant factors.''

These factors can include such things as the amount of bonds purchased, credit rating, coupon, and maturity.

Read Footnotes

Dealers have, or have had, a lot of latitude when it comes to prices. Just how much is becoming debatable. The dealer mentioned in the opinion charged markups of 1.41 percent to 5 percent, and markdowns of 3.02 percent to 5.64 percent. Yet the SEC says that for the transactions it lists, these markups and markdowns ``substantially exceeded accepted industry practice.''

As always, some of the most interesting material is contained in the footnotes.

Consider this passage: ``Our opinions suggest that although some markups on municipal bonds may reach 5 percent, that figure might be acceptable in only the most exceptional cases,'' the SEC says. Markups from 4 percent to 5.9 percent on municipal bonds might well be deemed ``improper.''

Which all suggests that the SEC is thinking that markups and markdowns should be a lot lower than some dealers do. The SEC hasn't commented on negative yields.

Last Updated: September 5, 2003 00:04 EDT